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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 93.9%, while expectations for a rate cut in October show significant divergence

Sep 12, 2025 06:03:53

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ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 93.9%, and the probability of a 50 basis points cut is 6.1%. In October, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 7.6%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 50 basis points is 86.8%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 75 basis points is 5.6%.

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