Or influenced by the news of "missing data will be filled," the market is re-betting on a rate cut in December
Nov 19, 2025 09:06:08
According to Polymarket data, the current probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 52%, while the probability of keeping the rate unchanged has fallen to 46%.
Additionally, according to the CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has increased to 48.9%, up from 42.4% yesterday.
Today's news: A spokesperson for the U.S. Department of Labor stated that the department plans to complete the missing weekly initial unemployment claims data from the government shutdown by Thursday local time.
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