The non-farm data in September is mixed, and there are still differences regarding the prospects of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December
Nov 21, 2025 11:13:45
According to Jin Ten's report, the non-farm payroll data for September shows mixed signals, leading to a divergence in market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Financial brokerage XTB believes that the rising unemployment rate may trigger a rate cut decision. Goldman Sachs Asset Management points out that despite the recent hawkish rhetoric, weak hard data and inflation close to target will drive policy developments. Sparta Securities expects the Federal Reserve may choose to cut rates by 25 basis points in December, while CITIC Securities believes that changes in the unemployment rate will influence the rate cut decision. TD Securities stated that the September non-farm employment report simultaneously confirms the views of both hawks and doves, and the market's pricing for a December rate cut has been readjusted to a "fifty-fifty" stance.
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