The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 80.1%

Dec 23, 2025 06:06:42

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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 19.9%, while the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 80.1%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 44.7%, the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 47.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 8.2%.

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