The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 95.6%

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January is 4.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95.6%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 27.6%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 71.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 1.1%.