The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 86.5%

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 13.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 86.5%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 24.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 74%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 2%.