The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 91.1%

Feb 03, 2026 06:05:51

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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 91.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.9%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 22.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 76%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.5%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 45.9%.

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