The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 91.1%, and the probability of a rate cut is 8.9%

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 91.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.9%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 22.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 76%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.5%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 46%.