Matrixport: Bitcoin may attempt a counter-trend rebound, but is still in the bear market reset phase

According to charts and analysis released by Matrixport, Bitcoin is attempting to stage a counter-trend rebound after experiencing a capitulation-style sell-off. This round of decline has washed out weak positions and triggered passive selling pressure and chain liquidations in the derivatives market.

In the short term, there is still some upward space from a technical perspective, but whether the rebound can be sustained largely depends on whether there is new capital to take over, rather than relying solely on short covering and systematic hedging funds. Matrixport points out that Bitcoin is still in a larger bear market reset phase, where rapid rebounds are not uncommon but often difficult to maintain. On-chain data also indicates that the current environment remains weak, with insufficient demand momentum and limited structural accumulation. Meanwhile, hedging activities in the options market are heating up, which may further amplify price volatility. If spot demand is insufficient, Bitcoin's price is more likely to experience a rapid decline, and the impact of derivatives on price will also increase.