The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 92.2%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 92.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 7.8%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 25.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 73.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.6%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 49.9%.