VanEck Releases Bitcoin On-Chain Report: Selling Pressure from Holders for Over 1 Year Slows Down, Hashrate Contraction May Lay the Foundation for Stronger Future Returns

VanEck released its on-chain Bitcoin report in mid-February 2026. The report noted, "BTC continues to decline, and market sentiment is weakening: Bitcoin has dropped 29% in the past 30 days, pushing the NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) indicator close to the 'anxiety zone' and briefly entering the 'fear zone'.

Meanwhile, leverage has completed its reset, and the size of open contracts has fallen back to levels not seen since September 2024. Mid-term holders dominate the distribution, but selling is slowing down: realized selling is still mainly concentrated among those holding for 1 to 5 years, although in the past month, the distribution speed of coins held for over 1 year has noticeably slowed.

Miner profit margins are under pressure, and hash rate is contracting: over the past 90 days, the total network hash rate has decreased by about 14%, reflecting tightening mining economics. Historically, similar situations often herald stronger subsequent returns for Bitcoin."