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Analyst: The realized losses caused by Bitcoin's recent pullback have reached a historical high, which may be close to a temporary bottom

Feb 21, 2026 19:05:10

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Cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe stated that the recent pullback in Bitcoin has led to a significant surge in realized losses, reaching an all-time high. This is one of the largest realized loss events in Bitcoin's history, comparable to the 2018 bear market crash, the March 2020 COVID-19 plunge, and the loss peaks during the 2022 Luna/FTX collapse.

A large number of holders are capitulating, either selling at a loss or transferring their BTC while in a losing position. Such extreme loss realization typically indicates panic selling in the market and passive liquidations. Historically, similar large-scale surges in realized losses often occur at or near cyclical bottoms, as this represents the complete clearing out of "weak hands" and high-leverage positions.

It is noteworthy that the Sharpe Ratio has dropped to its lowest level since the last bottom; the market is experiencing a massive capitulation event with extremely high realized losses; market sentiment has nearly reached a freezing point. The only difference this time is that Bitcoin is down about 50% from its historical high, rather than 80%. The bottom is near.

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