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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 96%

Feb 24, 2026 06:02:44

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According to Jinshi News, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 96%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 4%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 17.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 82.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 0.6%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 46.8%.

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