The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 96%, while the probability of a rate cut is only 4%

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 96%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 17.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 82.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.6%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 43%.