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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%

Mar 11, 2026 06:02:43

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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 99.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.6%. By April, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 86.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 13.9%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.1%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 37.5%.

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