Analyst: With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision lowered, Bitcoin may face fluctuations in the range of $68,000 to $80,000

Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on platform X that the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for this month will be announced at 2 AM this Thursday. Currently, the futures market shows a 99% probability of no change, while next month's interest rate meeting decision is believed to have a 97% probability of remaining unchanged. The Federal Reserve's impact on the market in the past two months has likely been relatively limited.

Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating around 74,000, and the greed index is neutral: 1. Hawkish signal: If the dot plot shows only 1 or even 0 rate cuts in 2026, market expectations will decline, liquidity will tighten, and BTC will most likely retest the support level of 68,000 USD. 2. Dovish surprise: As long as Powell mentions "inflation is controllable" or "focus on the labor market," improved liquidity expectations will directly impact the 800,000 USD threshold. 3. X variable: Kevin Warsh, the quasi-new chair nominated by Trump, has policy preferences that are harder to grasp than Powell's. The market fears the "policy vacuum period" or "hawkish transition." Before the April meeting, institutional funds may choose to hedge and sell off, leading to significant volatility in altcoins.