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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 97.9%

Mar 30, 2026 06:04:44

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According to Jinshi News, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 2.1%, while the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 97.9%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point increase is 8.8%, the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point increase is 0.1%, and the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 91.1%.

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