The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%
Apr 8, 2026 06:46:42
According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 2.1%.
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