Polymarket shows the probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the new Fed chairman soaring to 85%

Jan 30, 2026 09:45:26

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According to Polymarket data, the two most likely candidates to succeed the Federal Reserve Chair have reversed again, with Kevin Warsh's probability of taking office soaring to 85%, while BlackRock's Chief Investment Officer for Global Fixed Income, Rieder, has seen his probability drop to 8%.

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